At Red Bull Arena on 17 November 2025, Germany host Slovakia in the decisive final match of the group. Both teams have already secured their positions - Germany will finish first unless they lose, while Slovakia are guaranteed second - yet the meeting still carries emotional weight after Slovakia’s surprising 2–0 victory in the reverse fixture.
Germany Seeking Redemption and Control
Germany began the qualifiers with a shock defeat in Slovakia but have been excellent since. Across their next four matches, Julian Nagelsmann’s side won all four, conceding only one goal and re-establishing full tactical control. Their defensive structure has improved significantly, and only one of their last six matches has seen goals at both ends - the 3–1 home win over Northern Ireland. Germany will want to finish the group strongly and deliver a performance that confirms their dominance, especially in front of their home supporters.
Slovakia Safe in Second but Limited Away from Home
Slovakia secured a crucial 1–0 win over Northern Ireland on Friday to lock in second place and ensure progression. While they famously beat Germany in the first round, repeating such a feat on German soil will be far more challenging. Their away record tells the story: Slovakia have failed to score in five of their last six away matches, managing only two goals in that stretch. Their most recent trip ended in a 0–2 defeat to Northern Ireland. Slovakia remain organised and defensively disciplined, but their attacking threat drops significantly when they travel.
Prediction: AH – Slovakia +2
Germany should control the match and are deserved favourites, but Slovakia’s defensive structure and Germany’s typically measured approach make a very heavy win less likely. With Slovakia rarely collapsing and Germany often managing matches rather than chasing big scorelines, the handicap leans toward the visitors.
