At the Johan Cruyff Arena on 17 November 2025, the Netherlands conclude their qualification campaign against Lithuania in a match expected to highlight the gulf in quality between the two sides. With the Dutch already assured of finishing top of the group, this fixture serves as an opportunity to close out the cycle with another convincing performance.
Netherlands Comfortable at the Top
Despite two draws against second-placed Poland, the Netherlands have controlled the group with authority. They won all five of their remaining matches, most of them with ease, and displayed their best football at home - highlighted by a dominant 4–0 win over Finland in their most recent match in Amsterdam. Their only moment of difficulty came in the reverse fixture with Lithuania, a surprisingly tight 3–2 victory on the road. Back on home soil, Ronald Koeman’s side are expected to impose themselves more comfortably, with superior pace, movement, and structure.
Lithuania Struggling to Compete
Lithuania sit bottom of the group and have gone through the entire campaign without a win, collecting just three draws and four losses. Even Malta sit above them in the standings. Their wider form is equally troubling - Lithuania have now gone 16 straight matches without a victory. Struggles in both creativity and defensive cohesion have left them consistently exposed against stronger opposition. Their defensive resilience is likely to be tested heavily once again in Amsterdam.
Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals / BTTS – No
With the Netherlands in full control and Lithuania lacking the attacking quality to trouble the hosts, this match shapes up for a clear and one-sided outcome. The Dutch attack should create enough chances to push the score comfortably over the goal line, while Lithuania’s limited offensive threat suggests they will struggle to get on the scoreboard.
