At Podgorica City Stadium on 17 November 2025, Montenegro host group winners Croatia in the final round of qualifying. With Croatia already assured of first place and Montenegro long out of contention, the match becomes one of pride and performance rather than standings - yet the contrast in quality remains clear.
Montenegro Inconsistent Throughout the Campaign
Montenegro’s qualification run has been marked by erratic performances and disappointing results. Their 2–1 comeback win over Gibraltar on Friday added some positivity, but their overall campaign has lacked momentum. Their victories came only against the two lowest-ranked sides - Gibraltar (twice) and the Faroe Islands at home. Meanwhile, they suffered heavy defeats, including a damaging 0–4 loss away to the Faroe Islands and a 0–4 defeat in Croatia. Even at home, they have shown vulnerability, falling 0–2 to the Czech Republic earlier in the cycle. Defensive inconsistency has been their biggest issue, and facing Croatia again presents a major challenge.
Croatia Dominant and Defensively Elite
Croatia have controlled the group from start to finish, fully deserving their first-place finish. With six wins and one draw - the 0–0 away to the Czech Republic - they have conceded only two goals across seven matches. Remarkably, they have not conceded a single goal in their three away fixtures so far, highlighting their organisation and maturity under pressure. Even with qualification secured, Croatia maintain a level of professionalism and attacking rhythm that makes them dangerous in any context, especially against opponents with Montenegro’s defensive frailties.
Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals
Croatia’s attacking depth and Montenegro’s tendency to allow space and chances create a favourable setup for goals. With the match free of qualification pressure, it may open up even more, particularly if Montenegro attempt to play more aggressively at home. The selection is Over 2.5 goals, anticipating a match with multiple scoring opportunities and Croatia likely setting the tone.
