Serie A opens with Genoa hosting Lecce at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris on August 25, 2025, in what promises to be an entertaining clash between two sides who impressed in their recent Coppa Italia fixtures.
Prediction Overview
The recommended betting market is Over 2.5 goals. Both Genoa and Lecce approach the new season with attacking confidence, and historical head-to-head data strongly favors high-scoring encounters. With each team capable of producing in forward areas while remaining defensively vulnerable, the likelihood of three or more goals is high.
Genoa’s Ambition at Home
Genoa enter the campaign buoyed by a strong showing in the Coppa Italia and will rely on the passion of their home crowd in Genoa. Manager Alberto Gilardino has instilled a proactive style, encouraging vertical play and exploiting spaces quickly. In pre-season and competitive matches, Genoa have been consistently involved in games exceeding 2.5 goals, reflecting both their offensive intent and defensive openness. With Mateo Retegui leading the line, supported by Albert Guðmundsson’s creativity, Genoa possess the firepower to challenge any Serie A defense, though their own back line often offers opponents opportunities in return.
Lecce’s Forward Threats
Lecce also come into the match on a high after a strong Coppa Italia performance, displaying efficient finishing and energetic pressing. Despite often being considered underdogs in Serie A, Lecce’s youthful side, managed by Luca Gotti, has developed a reputation for direct attacks and opportunistic scoring. The likes of Nikola Krstović and Lameck Banda provide genuine forward thrust, ensuring they can trouble Genoa’s defense. However, Lecce’s tendency to concede away from home remains a concern and points toward an open, goal-laden affair.
Head-to-Head Goal Trend
History reinforces the expectation of goals in this matchup. Seven of the last nine meetings between Genoa and Lecce have finished with over 2.5 total goals, with both teams finding the net in the majority of those games. These fixtures regularly produce end-to-end action, and neither side is built to sit deep for 90 minutes. Combined with the attacking momentum generated from their Coppa Italia wins, another high-scoring contest appears highly probable, making Over 2.5 goals the standout betting pick.
