At Arena Lviv on 16 November 2025, Ukraine host Iceland in a decisive qualifier that will determine who takes second place in the group. With both sides still in contention and only a single point separating them, the stakes could not be higher.
Ukraine Must Win to Reach Second Place
Ukraine enter the match knowing the scenario is straightforward: only a victory will secure second position. They already defeated Iceland 5–3 in Reykjavik, but that result was offset by two heavy losses to France - including a damaging 0–4 defeat on Thursday after holding the world champions to 0–0 at half-time. Those results have left Ukraine with an inferior goal difference, meaning that anything less than three points ends their qualifying hopes. Despite the setback in Paris, Ukraine have shown attacking potential throughout the campaign and will be expected to push aggressively from the start.
Iceland Have the Advantage - But Must Remain Focused
Iceland arrive in Lviv with the luxury of knowing that a draw would be enough to retain second place. Their campaign has been defined by powerful attacking performances: in four of their five group matches, they scored at least two goals, including a commendable effort in their 1–2 defeat away to France. Their ability to create and finish chances makes them dangerous in transitions - but they must be wary of the defensive lapses that cost them in the 3–5 loss at home to Ukraine. Maintaining discipline will be crucial if they are to protect their advantage.
Prediction: BTTS – Yes
Given the attacking profiles of both teams, this match promises intensity and goals. Ukraine must attack, Iceland excel in transition, and neither side has displayed consistent defensive solidity. The selection is Both Teams to Score – Yes, anticipating an open and decisive showdown where both nations find the net.
