On 14 October 2025 at the RAMS Park in Istanbul, Türkiye will face Georgia in a decisive World Cup qualifying fixture that could determine which nation secures second place in the group. With both teams still in contention, this matchup promises attacking football, intensity, and plenty of goalmouth action.
Prediction Overview: Over 2.5 Goals
The recommended betting pick is Over 2.5 Goals, based on both sides’ recent form and their history of high-scoring encounters. Türkiye’s renewed attacking rhythm after a major rebound performance, combined with Georgia’s adventurous but error-prone defense, creates ideal conditions for a match with multiple goals. Previous meetings between these nations - 3–2 and 3–1 wins for Türkiye - reinforce the expectation of another open, entertaining contest.
Türkiye Rebound with Power and Purpose
After the 0–6 home collapse against Spain, Türkiye responded emphatically with a 6–1 away victory over Bulgaria, proving that their attacking structure under Vincenzo Montella remains dynamic and efficient when confidence returns. That result not only preserved second place in the standings but also showcased the squad’s offensive depth - with six different players involved in the scoring actions.
Montella’s men have now scored nine goals in their last two qualifiers, reflecting the influence of key creative players like Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Arda Güler, while forwards Enes Ünal and Cengiz Ünder continue to contribute pace and precision in the final third. Defensively, some instability remains, but Türkiye’s focus on vertical attacking transitions ensures that their matches frequently evolve into goal-heavy affairs.
Historically, Türkiye thrive in such decisive fixtures at home. They have won seven of their last eight home qualifiers, often by multiple goals, and tend to press aggressively from kickoff. Expect them to control tempo and create sustained pressure against Georgia’s back line.
Georgia Struggle on the Road
For Georgia, this fixture represents a last opportunity to stay alive in the race for qualification. The visitors have not been poor offensively - they scored three against Bulgaria and even pushed Türkiye close in the 3–2 reverse fixture earlier in the campaign - but their defense continues to leak goals. They’ve now lost six of their last nine away matches, conceding two or more goals in the majority of them.
Key forward Khvicha Kvaratskhelia remains the team’s biggest threat, supported by Georges Mikautadze, but both rely on space and quick counterattacks. Against a dominant Turkish side, those opportunities may appear, yet Georgia’s compactness under pressure often falters. Their last visit to Türkiye, at Euro 2024, ended in a 3–1 defeat, a pattern that could easily repeat given the hosts’ current momentum and attacking depth.
Match Dynamics & Tactical Outlook
This matchup is unlikely to settle into a defensive stalemate. Türkiye will push high, use width, and look to exploit Georgia’s defensive transitions. The visitors, meanwhile, will look for counters through Kvaratskhelia’s dribbling and Mikautadze’s finishing, meaning both sides are expected to create chances. The first half could already feature goals, with Türkiye’s superior individual quality expected to prevail as fatigue and pressure grow for Georgia late on.
Given both teams’ recent records - Türkiye averaging over 3.5 goals per game in qualifiers, and Georgia conceding an average of 2.4 goals per away match - the Over 2.5 line offers value and aligns with their previous duels. A 3–1 or 3–2 type of scoreline would not surprise here.
