At Estadio Santiago Bernabéu on 18 November 2025, Spain welcome Türkiye in a top-of-the-group clash that nevertheless features two teams operating on very different levels within this qualifying cycle. Spain have been flawless, while Türkiye arrive with strong results of their own but carrying the weight of a heavy loss in the reverse fixture.
Spain in Total Control of the Group
Spain’s campaign has been nothing short of dominant. Their 4–0 win away to Georgia on Saturday extended their perfect record, and they have yet to concede a single goal in five matches. Spain previously dismantled Türkiye 6–0 on the road - a result that underlined the gap in depth, rhythm, and tactical cohesion between the sides. At home, Spain are on an extended winning streak, imposing their structure with suffocating possession and relentless attacking variations. Everything points toward another commanding performance in Madrid.
Türkiye Strong, but Spain Remains a Level Above
Excluding their heavy defeat to Spain, Türkiye have handled the rest of the group very well. They have won all four of their other matches and scored at least two goals in each of them. The squad is full of quality and physicality, particularly in attacking areas, but Spain remain a uniquely difficult hurdle. Against elite, possession-heavy sides, Türkiye often struggle to maintain defensive discipline for 90 minutes, and their back line becomes stretched - something Spain exploited ruthlessly in the first meeting.
Prediction: AH – Spain -1.5
Given Spain’s dominance, home form, and the one-sided nature of the previous encounter, the hosts are clear favourites to win comfortably once again. Türkiye have enough talent to compete with most opponents, but Spain’s tempo and control are likely to overwhelm them.
The selection is Spain -1.5 Asian Handicap, expecting another convincing Spanish victory.
