At Friends Arena on 18 November 2025, Sweden host Slovenia in a match that, despite having no bearing on qualification positions, carries significant weight for Sweden’s rebuilding process under new manager Graham Potter. Both teams have struggled throughout the campaign, but the Swedes now face mounting pressure to deliver a reaction in front of their home supporters.
Sweden Desperate for Stability Under Potter
Sweden’s qualifying campaign has been unexpectedly poor. With just one point from five matches - the 2–2 draw away to Slovenia in the opener - they sit bottom of the group. Their form has been alarming: four consecutive defeats, including Saturday’s heavy 1–4 loss in Switzerland, which marked Graham Potter’s difficult debut. Despite their struggles, Sweden do retain quality in their squad, and at home they are expected to respond with greater cohesion and urgency. This match may be less about standings and more about restoring belief before the playoffs they reached thanks to their Nations League performance.
Slovenia Competitive Away but Goal-Shy
Slovenia have also endured a disappointing qualifying run. After scoring twice in the draw against Sweden on matchday one, they have since failed to score in four straight matches. Their attacking output has dried up almost completely. However, they remain relatively solid away from home - losing just once in their last six away fixtures - and they know that avoiding defeat in Stockholm would ensure they do not finish last in the group. Their defensive shape has improved, but the lack of final-third precision continues to limit their ceiling.
Prediction: Sweden to Win
With home advantage, stronger individual quality, and a clear need to show improvement under their new manager, Sweden are well positioned to take the initiative. Slovenia’s inability to score in recent matches further tilts the balance toward the hosts.
