Sevilla have struggled for rhythm, winning just one of their last eight matches in all competitions. That lone victory, however, came at home in a 2-1 success over Athletic Bilbao. Last week, Sevilla followed it with a 1-1 draw against Girona, meaning they have gone two consecutive home games without defeat for the first time this season. While attacking fluency remains inconsistent, performances at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán have shown slight improvement.
Prediction: AH – Home +0
This matchup suggests Sevilla are unlikely to lose at home. Given Alavés’ weak away record and Sevilla’s slight upward trend on their own ground, the +0 handicap on the hosts provides solid value. If the match ends in a draw, the stake is protected, while a home win secures full success.
Sevilla’s Home Edge Could Prove Decisive
Sevilla may not be dominant, but Sevilla tend to raise their level at home. Even during poor overall runs, their performances in Seville have been more competitive. Against a visiting side that struggles on the road, that advantage becomes particularly relevant.
Alavés’ Away Weakness Remains a Concern
Alavés have lost eight of their eleven away matches this season, scoring just six goals in those games. While they did manage a surprise 2-1 win at Espanyol, consistency away from home has been lacking. Defensive vulnerability and limited attacking output make away fixtures especially challenging.
