At Ta’ Qali National Stadium on 17 November 2025, Malta host Poland in the final group match for both sides. With Poland already assured of second place and Malta buoyed by a rare victory on Friday, the encounter sets up as a cautiously balanced fixture likely to follow the low-scoring pattern that has defined much of Malta’s campaign.
Malta Lifted by a Shock Win
Malta stunned Finland with a 1–0 away victory, earning their first win of the qualifiers and only their second goal in seven matches. It was a much-needed morale boost for a team that has struggled to produce clear chances or maintain attacking consistency. At home, Malta’s difficulties have been even more pronounced: they have failed to score in all three of their current qualifiers in Ta’ Qali and in four of their last six home games overall. Their focus remains defensive discipline, with little appetite for open play.
Poland Comfortable in Second Place
Poland come into the match after a 1–1 home draw against the Netherlands, a result that confirmed their position as runners-up in the group. They have been solid throughout qualifying, with only one defeat - a 1–2 setback away to Finland. Their away performances have been generally stable, including a professional 2–0 win in Lithuania. Three of Poland’s four victories have come with clean sheets, including their 2–0 home win over Malta earlier in the campaign. With qualification secured, Poland are expected to manage the game calmly and avoid unnecessary risks.
Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals
Both teams lean toward controlled, low-scoring matches, and the circumstances here reinforce that trend. Malta will try to maintain compact lines and avoid undoing the confidence gained from their win in Finland, while Poland, already qualified, are unlikely to push aggressively. The selection is Under 2.5 goals, anticipating a measured and tight encounter.
