At the Stade Vélodrome on 25 November 2025, Marseille welcome Newcastle in a match that could prove decisive for the balance of the group. Both teams come into the fixture boosted by strong domestic wins, yet their European trajectories remain sharply different.
Marseille Strong at Home but Struggling in Europe
Marseille traditionally rely on their home form, and this season is no exception. Their only Champions League win came here - a dominant 4–0 victory over Ajax - and across all competitions they have suffered just a single home defeat since August. The problem is that this defeat came precisely in the Champions League, a narrow 0–1 loss to Atalanta.
Despite a convincing 5–1 victory away to Nice on Friday, Marseille face a discouraging statistic: they have failed to win any of their last 12 matches against English clubs. Their intensity and home support often lift their level, but they regularly lack the final edge in these high-stakes European encounters.
Newcastle in Excellent Champions League Rhythm
Newcastle, meanwhile, carry momentum from a notable 2–1 weekend win over Manchester City. After losing 1–2 to Barcelona in their group opener, they responded in style with three straight victories - all without conceding a goal and scoring at least twice in each.
Although their Premier League away form has been frustrating, their only Champions League trip this season ended in a commanding 4–0 win over Union Saint-Gilloise. Eddie Howe’s side look tactically disciplined, defensively sharp and efficient in transitions - precisely the qualities that tend to trouble Marseille.
Why the Edge Goes to Newcastle - Prediction: AH Away +0
Marseille’s home strength cannot be ignored, but Newcastle’s European form has been far more convincing. The visitors defend better, create clearer chances and carry more consistency across their performances. With both sides capable of tight control phases, this match profiles as balanced - yet Newcastle appear slightly more stable and reliable at the moment.
Draw protection on the visitors (AH 0) reflects the most logical approach: Newcastle’s form suggests they are less likely to lose, while the possibility of a narrow victory is equally realistic.
