On 14 September 2025, Lokomotiv Plovdiv host Ludogorets Razgrad in Plovdiv in the Bulgarian First League in a clash between the first- and third-placed sides.
Prediction Overview
The suggested outcome is Ludogorets to win 0-1, with Under 2.5 goals. Lokomotiv Plovdiv have been solid but low-scoring, especially at home, while Ludogorets are strong defensively and have enough quality to nick a tight away victory. The value seems to lie in expecting a narrow win rather than an open, high-scoring game.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Resilient at Home But Not Prolific
Lokomotiv Plovdiv are sitting in 3rd place in the First League and remain unbeaten at home so far this season: they have 3 home wins, no draws, no losses. Their home goal‐scoring average is about 1.14 goals per game, while they concede roughly 0.57 goals per match. They often keep games tight: many of their fixtures have ended with Under 2.5 goals. They are good at defending their home turf, but their attacking output tends to be modest, especially in big matches.
Ludogorets: Strong Away Defence & Enough Firepower to Edge It
Ludogorets are top of the league and unbeaten in all matches so far. Their away record is perfect up to now: 2 wins, 0 draws away. They have scored 13 goals this season across all their fixtures, which shows attacking potency, though the rate away from home is more cautious. Their defence is also strong: away matches have seen few goals conceded. In such matchups, Ludogorets are capable of seizing opportunities and protecting narrow leads.
Match Trends & What Head-to-Head Suggests
Lokomotiv Plovdiv’s statistics show that less than a third of their matches so far have passed over 2.5 total goals. Similarly, Ludogorets’ away games tend to produce fewer goals. The intersection of those trends suggests that the match may stay tight. Given Lokomotiv’s home resilience and Ludogorets’ ability to win away while conceding minimally, a 1-0 away win is plausible. The value is in backing Ludogorets’ slight edge rather than expecting a goal fest.
In summary: Ludogorets have the recent form, strong defence, and the experience to clinch a close away win. Backing 0-1 victory for Ludogorets + Under 2.5 goals looks like the most likely result for this fixture.
