On 26 September 2025, Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Levski Sofia clash at Lokomotiv Stadium in Plovdiv in a Bulgarian First League contest between two in-form sides vying for top positions.
Tip & Betting Strategy
The recommendation is Under 2.5 goals. Given the historically modest scoring in this fixture and the home side’s defensive resolve, a low-scoring match where Levski do not dominate fully is a sensible betting scenario.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Home Strength & Defensive Solidity
Lokomotiv Plovdiv are performing above expectations this season. They have built a solid home record and in Plovdiv, they often impose themselves, especially against the top teams. Their midfield is compact and disciplined, helping shield the backline from full exposure. Against a strong opponent like Levski, they are likely to lean on structure, energy, and counter opportunities rather than expansive attacking. Given the cautious nature of direct encounters, they have reason to believe in avoiding defeat at home.
Levski Sofia: Authority, but Room for Restraint
Levski have been impressive this season and currently lead the standings. Their consistency, squad depth, and balance across all lines make them a top contender. However, in Plovdiv they rarely walk away with runaway victories - the away ground tends to ease the tempo. After a disappointing result in their last match against Ludogorets, their confidence might be tested, and they may avoid overcommitting. While they possess the quality to break through, the risk is they encounter a disciplined, compact opponent and the game stays tight.
H2H & Scoring Trends Favor Low Output
Head-to-head history between these clubs shows moderate scoring. According to FCTables, in 65 meetings, Levski have won 34, Lokomotiv 18, and 13 ended in draws. The average total goals per match is approximately 2.82. In H2H data, among 37 matches, 46 % ended with over 2.5 goals - meaning 54 % stayed under. Also in those matchups, draws are relatively frequent and blowouts rare.
Additionally, in recent seasons when Levski visit Plovdiv, the margin of victory is often narrow, and many matches finish with one or two total goals. That pattern aligns with betting for under 2.5 goals. The double chance 1X offers protection should Levski force a tight win, while still siding with the more cautious, structured outcome of a low-scoring contest.
All things considered, Under 2.5 combined with 1X double chance offers a prudent, value-based approach: expecting a hard-fought match, fewer goals, and the home side avoiding defeat.
