Cherno More have started the new season in excellent form, remaining unbeaten after the first five rounds and climbing into third place in the Bulgarian First League. They have been particularly strong at home, winning both matches at Stadion Ticha and showing consistency that suggests they could once again challenge for a top position by the end of the campaign. Their next test comes against Lokomotiv Plovdiv, another side that has impressed in the early stages.
Lokomotiv, coached by Dušan Košić, are also unbeaten after five matches and have already secured big wins over CSKA Sofia and Slavia. However, their away record tells a different story: while solid defensively, they have yet to register a victory on the road this season, drawing both of their away fixtures so far.
The history between the two clubs is close but slightly favors Cherno More. Out of 37 past meetings, they have 18 wins compared to Lokomotiv’s 12, with the rest ending in draws. Matches between these teams tend to produce around 2.4 goals on average, with both teams scoring in just over half of them.
The data signals a tight contest less likely to produce a goal-fest. Cherno More’s solid home defence and Lokomotiv Plovdiv’s cautious away performances lead to limited clear-cut opportunities. The visiting side has preferred containment, resulting in low-scoring draws, while Cherno More’s balanced approach typically avoids open, end-to-end exchanges. With both teams demonstrating defensive discipline and a shared emphasis on structured play, the match is expected to stay below three goals. That tactical framing, especially in early-season fixtures where risk is minimized, supports the value in an under-2.5-goals wager.
