Liverpool host Southampton at Anfield on 23 September 2025 in a Carabao Cup Round 3 tie, with the Reds aiming to continue their blazing form and the Saints seeking to make a cup statement away from home.
Prediction Overview
The tip is Under 2.5 goals. The head-to-head between Liverpool and Southampton has tended to produce multiple goals, Liverpool have been prolific this season, and even though Southampton are under pressure, they often find ways to score in matches against strong opponents. All this suggests a lively game with at least 2 goals.
Liverpool’s Offensive Surge & Anfield Edge
Liverpool come into this match in excellent form. According to Premier League stats, they are unbeaten and have won all their opening matches (5-0 in the Premier League so far). Their scoring average is about 2.2 goals per game in those league matches. At home, Liverpool have shown especially attacking intent, creating many chances, dominating possession, and generating more shots on target. While some rotation is expected for this Cup fixture, their attacking structure remains strong.
Southampton’s Fighting Spirit & Goalscoring Moments
Southampton have had a tough start to the season, especially in the league and after relegation. However, they do have some recent cup success (e.g. a solid win vs Norwich) and tend to pose a threat on transition or set-pieces. Their away matches often see them concede, but they also manage to get on the scoresheet in many of those games. Recent H2H data indicates that a significant number of Liverpool vs Southampton matches have goals at both ends.
Head-to-Head & Goal Trends Reinforce Under 2.5 Case
Looking at the direct history: Liverpool vs Southampton have met 42 times, with Liverpool winning 24, Southampton 10, and 8 draws. The average goals per match across those H2H games is about 2.79. Liverpool vs Southampton matches average nearly 2-3 goals, so Under 2.5 is well supported. Also, Liverpool match data indicate they score in both halves often and have strong second-half scoring bursts, while Southampton occasionally contribute late goals or at least one goal in response.
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals - likely outcomes: Liverpool 2-1 Southampton or 3-1 Liverpool, possibly even 2-2 depending on how aggressively Southampton respond or Liverpool rotate.
