On 14 October 2025, Italy host Israel in Rome in what could prove decisive in shaping the outcome of their World Cup qualifying group. After a slow start, Italy have built strong momentum and are now within reach of securing qualification, while Israel arrive needing a win to preserve their slim hopes of finishing second.
Prediction Overview: BTTS – Yes
The recommended pick is Both Teams to Score – Yes. Both nations have been involved in high-scoring fixtures throughout the campaign, with Italy finding consistency in attack and Israel showing they can both score and concede freely. Recent results suggest that goals at both ends are likely: Italy have seen seven of their last eight matches finish over 2.5 goals, while Israel’s defense has struggled to contain quality opposition, yet they still possess enough forward talent to threaten.Italy’s Form & Focus
Italy’s qualification campaign has settled after the early setback against Norway. They’ve since produced four consecutive victories, each time scoring at least twice. Their most recent result - a 3–1 away win against Estonia - reinforced their attacking rhythm. At home, they’ve been dominant, beating Estonia 5–0 and Moldova 2–0. Under Luciano Spalletti, Italy’s approach emphasizes proactive, possession-based football, with quick rotations in midfield and aggressive wing play. This often leads to open matches, particularly when the opposition push forward. With Norway still slightly ahead in the standings, Italy need to keep winning to maintain pressure, so a focused and attacking performance is expected.Israel’s Situation & Vulnerabilities
Israel face a near must-win situation. Their qualification hopes hinge on a result in Rome, but their recent form is concerning - ten goals conceded across their last two games has exposed defensive frailty. The 0–5 defeat in Norway on Saturday compounded the earlier 4–5 home loss to Italy, highlighting both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. Despite the heavy defeats, Israel have scored in five of their last six outings, demonstrating the ability to find openings even against stronger opponents. Their main strength lies in transitions and set-pieces, where their directness can trouble Italy’s high defensive line.Match Dynamics & Tactical Expectation
This encounter is likely to be fast-paced and open. Italy will look to assert dominance early, pushing numbers forward and maintaining possession high up the pitch. Israel will sit deeper, waiting for counterattacking chances and looking to exploit space behind the Italian full-backs. Given Italy’s attacking intent and Israel’s willingness to take risks, both sides should have opportunities. A repeat of their high-scoring first meeting cannot be ruled out.Considering Italy’s offensive form and Israel’s tendency to both score and concede, BTTS – Yes is a well-supported selection. Expect a dynamic, end-to-end game with Italy likely to prevail but both teams contributing to the scoresheet.
