On 3 October 2025 at El Sadar in Pamplona, Osasuna host Getafe in a La Liga midweek fixture.
Defensive Battle Expected
The selection here is Under 2.5 goals. Both sides have shown tendencies toward low-scoring games lately, and with Osasuna’s home defensive solidity and Getafe’s recent attacking drought, the odds favor a tight match rather than a goalfest.
Osasuna at Home: Hard to Break, Slow to Score
Osasuna’s recent trend heavily leans toward fewer goals. In fact, over their last 11 La Liga matches, 10 have ended under 2.5 goals (i.e. low totals). Their home matches also tend to be tight affairs - while they drew 1-1 with Elche in their last home outing, they had earlier delivered six straight home wins, conceding only one goal over that span.
They have also failed to keep a clean sheet this season and are conceding regularly, but their defensive posture at home generally aims to limit space and slow the game. Against Getafe, they’re likely to emphasize structure, solidity, and risk-avoidance rather than expansively pushing forward.
Getafe’s Scoring Woes & Conservative Approach Away
Getafe have struggled offensively in recent away matches, failing to score in their last two visits (losses to Valencia and Barcelona). Their home matches have also been modest - two consecutive 1-1 draws against Levante and Alavés - showing that their scoring is limited going forward.
Given that their matches often lack attacking fluency and that they may adopt a cautious posture away from home in Pamplona, it’s likely Getafe will try to stay compact and seek counter opportunities rather than press relentlessly.
Head-to-Head Context & Trend Signals
Historically, matches between Osasuna and Getafe in La Liga are frequently low-scoring. The last time Getafe won at El Sadar was in March, by a 2-1 margin, and such victories are rare. That suggests Osasuna defend well at home and matches often settle by narrow margins. Combined with current form and scoring trends, the Under 2.5 bet aligns with what is likely to unfold.
