On 11 October 2025 at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, Spain welcome Georgia for a World Cup qualifying encounter where the hosts aim to maintain their perfect record and firm control over the group standings.
Prediction Overview: AH – Spain –2.0
The recommended pick is Spain –2.0 Asian Handicap, projecting a comfortable home win by multiple goals. Spain’s attacking rhythm, home advantage, and depth of talent make a convincing victory probable. The handicap allows for a refund if Spain win by exactly two, while a three-goal margin secures full value - a realistic outcome given the difference in quality between the two teams.
Spain’s Dominant Run Continues
Spain have begun their qualification campaign in emphatic style, with a 3–0 win over Bulgaria followed by a stunning 6–0 triumph away to Turkey. Those results reaffirm their attacking depth and defensive solidity under coach Luis de la Fuente, whose side now boast nine consecutive matches scoring at least two goals. At home, Spain’s record is particularly imposing - a long streak of victories, often with wide margins.
Although Lamine Yamal and Rodri are unavailable due to injuries, the Spanish squad remains stacked with world-class options. Ferran Torres, Dani Olmo, Álvaro Morata, and Nico Williams provide varied attacking threats, while midfield control from Pedri and Fabián Ruiz ensures territorial dominance. Spain’s ability to dictate tempo and recycle possession relentlessly often exhausts less experienced opponents, leading to decisive late goals - a pattern that aligns well with the –2 line.
Georgia’s Brave but Limited Prospects
Georgia’s campaign has been mixed so far: a 2–3 loss to Turkey followed by a 3–0 victory over Bulgaria revived their hopes of challenging for second place. Managed by Willy Sagnol, the team continues to rely heavily on Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, whose creativity and pace give them a chance in transition. However, Georgia’s defensive structure remains inconsistent - they’ve conceded in five of their last six matches - and their record against elite nations is poor.
When these sides last met at Euro 2024, Spain won 4–1, and the historical head-to-head shows Spain have consistently dominated, scoring four or more goals in several of their most recent encounters. While Georgia can be dangerous in bursts, they often struggle to cope with Spain’s pressing and positional play, leading to sustained defensive pressure.
Match Dynamics & Tactical Expectation
Spain will control possession from the start, circulating the ball through short combinations and using overlapping full-backs to stretch Georgia’s compact lines. The visitors will likely sit deep and rely on quick counters through Kvaratskhelia, but the disparity in midfield control should limit their opportunities. Spain’s steady buildup and precision in the final third are likely to produce multiple goals, especially as Georgia’s defense tires late on.
With Spain’s current momentum and Georgia’s vulnerability against top-tier opposition, a 3–0 or 4–1 outcome looks highly plausible. The –2 handicap provides a strong balance between risk and reward, fitting Spain’s pattern of dominant wins in qualification play.
