France continue their World Cup qualifying campaign on September 9, 2025, when they host Iceland in Paris. Les Bleus are overwhelming favorites, looking to build momentum after a strong away win in their opening fixture, while Iceland seek to prove their emphatic start was more than a one-off.
Prediction Overview
The advised betting angle is France â2.5 Asian Handicap. With Franceâs quality depth and home dominance, a multi-goal victory appears the most logical outcome. Iceland may be buoyed by their 5â0 win over Azerbaijan, but facing one of Europeâs elite sides away is a completely different challenge.
Franceâs Home Fortress
Didier Deschampsâ side return home where they have kept three consecutive clean sheets, including a 2â0 victory over Croatia in June. Their qualifying opener against Ukraine ended in a composed away win, reinforcing their status as group favorites. Even with Ousmane DembĂ©lĂ© and DĂ©sirĂ© DouĂ© leaving the squad camp, the depth remains immense - Kylian MbappĂ©, Antoine Griezmann, Kingsley Coman, and AurĂ©lien TchouamĂ©ni ensure both creativity and firepower. MbappĂ©, wearing the captainâs armband, is again expected to spearhead the attack, aiming to extend his prolific international scoring record.
Icelandâs False Dawn?
Iceland impressed with a 5â0 demolition of Azerbaijan in their opening match, but the broader picture remains concerning. They have lost four of their last six competitive games and struggled in the Nations League, highlighting their inconsistency. Away from home, Iceland have been especially poor: across their last eight trips, theyâve recorded seven defeats and a single draw (in a friendly). Against top-level opposition, their defensive organization often falters, leaving them vulnerable to sustained attacking pressure. Facing France in Paris, their main aim will likely be damage limitation.
Head-to-Head and Match Dynamics
Recent history favors France, who have beaten Iceland comfortably in several of their last encounters, including competitive fixtures with multi-goal margins. With superior pace, tactical flexibility, and an in-form MbappĂ©, Les Bleus are likely to dominate possession and create numerous chances. Icelandâs goal-scoring threat is limited outside ReykjavĂk, further tilting the scales toward a commanding home win. The â2.5 handicap reflects both Franceâs attacking ceiling and Icelandâs away fragility, making it the most value-backed play.
