Crvena Zvezda have built their European campaign on control and defensive discipline. Both teams have already secured at least a place in the knockout phase, but a win here could still open the door to a top-8 finish. Last week, Red Star picked up a valuable 1–0 away victory over Malmö, once again confirming the pattern that has defined their group stage so far. Six of their seven matches have finished under 2.5 goals, including all three home games: a 1–1 draw with Celtic, followed by narrow 1–0 wins over FCSB and Lille. At home, Zvezda clearly prioritise structure, patience, and risk minimisation.
Prediction: Double Chance – X2
The double chance in favour of Celta (X2) looks like a sensible approach. While Zvezda are tough to beat at home, Celta’s higher ceiling and attacking quality give them a strong chance of at least avoiding defeat.
Zvezda’s Home Control
Red Star are extremely disciplined at home. They slow the tempo, defend compactly, and rarely allow matches to become chaotic. That approach makes them difficult to break down, but it also limits their own attacking output, often keeping results tight and margins small.
Celta’s Greater Upside
Celta may be inconsistent, but they possess more variety and firepower going forward. Even in difficult away fixtures, they are capable of creating chances and scoring goals. If they adapt well to the atmosphere and avoid early mistakes, their quality should be enough to stay competitive throughout.
