At Hill Dickinson Stadium (Everton’s new home) on 5 October 2025, Everton host Crystal Palace in a Premier League clash where defenses may hold the edge.
Low-Scoring Expectation
The tip is Under 2.5 goals. Everton have been difficult to break down at home in this new ground, and both teams tend to play conservatively in tight matches. The likelihood of multiple goals is lower, and a slim 1-0 or 1-1 affair feels more probable than a goal bonanza.
Everton’s Defensive Fortitude & Home Caution
Everton’s transition to Hill Dickinson Stadium has been solid. In their first four home league games, they have conceded only one goal. According to our stats, Everton’s defensive record shows just 6 goals conceded in 6 matches overall, averaging 1 per game.
Moreover, all four home matches have stayed under 2.5 goals. Their home style is careful: they don’t overcommit, especially against sides with attacking quality like Palace. The 1-1 draw vs West Ham at this stadium underscores their tendency toward tight, controlled matches.
Palace’s Solid Run but Limited Away Threats
Crystal Palace are riding a record unbeaten run of 19 matches in all competitions, setting a new club benchmark. This runs through the league and into Europe, highlighting their consistency and resilience.
However, away from home their scoring is modest. They’ve only conceded once in their three away league fixtures so far. While they can get goals, their defensive structure often limits matches to low totals. Also, historically, they haven’t won at Everton in recent times, which suggests a tight match rather than a dominant showing.
Match Flow & Why Under 2.5 Is Sensible
This game is likely to see Everton defend compactly and aim to control tempo, while Palace probe cautiously and look to disrupt on transitions or set pieces. Neither side is likely to abandon structure to seek goals recklessly.
Given Everton’s home defensive strength, Palace’s solidity on the road, and both teams’ tendency in comparable fixtures to settle into low-scoring patterns, Under 2.5 goals offers a safer ceiling bet. Expect a match with few clear chances, tight margins, and a likely 1-0 or 1-1 finish.
