Arsenal continue to dictate the pace at the top of the Premier League, holding a five-point advantage after the 1-1 draw at Chelsea. Their home form remains one of the strongest pillars of their title challenge. Since the start of the season, matches at the Emirates have been extremely reliable for the Gunners - nine wins in their last ten home games across all competitions, with the only setback coming against Manchester City in a narrow matchup. Arteta’s team controls games well, concedes very rarely at home, and generally avoids chaotic, high-scoring fixtures on their own ground.
Brentford are struggling away from home
Brentford have picked up form recently, winning five of their last seven matches in all competitions, but much of that success has come at home. Away from home, the picture is completely different. They have lost five of their six Premier League away fixtures, and in each of those defeats they conceded at least two goals. While Brentford remain competitive and tactically disciplined, their away performances suggest caution when expecting them to push Arsenal into a high-tempo, open match.
Prediction: Under 3.5 goals
Arsenal’s home matches rarely get out of control, and Brentford’s away struggles further reinforce expectations for a more measured game. The Gunners should dominate possession and manage the rhythm, while Brentford will likely attempt to remain compact. This points toward a match with goals, but not an excessively high number.
