Bayer Leverkusen host Borussia Mönchengladbach on 21 September 2025 at the BayArena in the Bundesliga, with Leverkusen looking to capitalize on Gladbach’s struggles.
Prediction Overview
The tip is Leverkusen −1 Asian Handicap (i.e. Leverkusen to win by at least one goal). Gladbach are in a serious crisis - goalless start to the season, new coach coming in - but Leverkusen have the stronger squad, home advantage, and a strong historical record vs Gladbach. Backing a comfortable home win offers value here.
Leverkusen: Momentum, Home Strength & Head-to-Head Dominance
Bayer Leverkusen have started to stabilize under Kasper Hjulmand, most recently beating Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1 at home. Their matches at BayArena tend to produce goals; their offense is capable and they score regularly. In recent history, Leverkusen have not lost to Gladbach in their last 11 Bundesliga meetings (9 wins, 2 draws). They also top the head-to-head wins (27 vs 9) across about 49 total matches. Leverkusen are expected to put Gladbach under pressure early, exploit defensive lapses, and close the match out given their superior form and squad strength.
Gladbach: Struggles in Attack & Unstable Environment
Borussia Mönchengladbach have had a very poor start. They have failed to score in their first three Bundesliga matches and are at the bottom of the table with just one point. Their former manager Gerardo Seoane has been sacked after this goalless run. Eugen Polanski steps in as interim coach, but new coaches often need time, and Gladbach’s morale looks fragile. Their offensive output has been minimal and they have yet to break the deadlock in several matches, which suggests that scoring against a confident Leverkusen side away will be very difficult.
Historical & Statistical Trends Backing a Handicap Win
Head-to-head stats are heavily in Leverkusen’s favor: in ~49 past matches, Leverkusen won 27, Gladbach 9, and there were 13 draws. The average goals per match in their direct meetings is fairly high (~3.37) when considering both sides’ scoring together. That suggests Leverkusen not only win often but do so in matches with goal opportunities. Gladbach’s lack of scoring so far this season - and their continued goal drought - makes it unlikely they will keep up or threaten the result strongly. Given Leverkusen’s home patch record and Gladbach’s current crisis, Leverkusen −1 feels like a solid pick.
