At the Santiago Bernabéu on 25 February 2026, Real Madrid host Benfica in a decisive Champions League second leg that carries both tactical intrigue and emotional undertones. The absence of Gianluca Prestiani, following UEFA’s suspension, removes some of the off-field tension surrounding the tie, yet the football narrative remains compelling as both sides chase progression.
Real Madrid’s attacking configuration will be central to the outcome. A likely 4-4-2 shape with Kylian Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior leading the line offers pace and unpredictability. Mbappé’s movement between defenders is crucial, often dragging markers out of position and creating channels for Vinícius to exploit with diagonal runs. Arda Güler is expected to provide creativity from midfield, linking transitions and delivering incisive passes into advanced areas.
Prediction: Real Madrid to Win
While Both Teams to Score is a plausible scenario given Benfica’s attacking tendencies, the primary expectation is a Real Madrid victory. Their depth, experience at this level, and home advantage at the Bernabéu tilt the balance in their favour.
Benfica, despite the absence of José Mourinho on the touchline due to suspension, are unlikely to abandon their compact structure. Anatoliy Trubin has proven reliable in goal and will again be pivotal. Defensively, the leadership of Otamendi and the organisation of António Silva must withstand sustained pressure. Benfica have shown a tendency to strike early, often scoring within the opening twenty minutes in recent matches. Should they manage an early breakthrough here, the dynamic of the tie could shift dramatically.
Real Madrid are expected to dominate possession and impose tempo from the outset, pressing high and stretching Benfica’s defensive lines. The Portuguese side may sit compact and look to counter through Rafa Silva’s pace and Pavlidis’ positioning. However, sustained defensive discipline will be required to contain Madrid’s fluid front line.
Given Real’s offensive options and the psychological weight of the Bernabéu on European nights, the hosts are likely to assert control. Benfica may contribute to the spectacle, but Madrid’s quality should ultimately secure progression.
