The first semi-final of the Spanish Super Cup brings a matchup in which Barcelona appear as a clear favourite against Athletic Club, something that has not often been the case in recent years.
Prediction: Both Teams to Score – No
This matchup points toward a controlled Barcelona victory without conceding. Athletic’s current problems in defense and reduced intensity contrast sharply with Barcelona’s form and balance.
Athletic Club Hit by Injuries and Loss of Intensity
Athletic Club arrive far from their best level. They have already conceded 25 goals in the first half of the season, the highest number among teams in the top half of the standings. Injuries and absences in defense are a major factor, with Aymeric Laporte and Yuri Berchiche unavailable, while Yeray Álvarez is suspended for the remainder of the season. Valverde’s side no longer press with the same intensity as last campaign, largely because the lack of key players prevents them from sustaining that physically demanding style.
Barcelona in Ruthless Form
Barcelona, on the other hand, are in outstanding condition. Since El Clásico, they have recorded nine consecutive victories, all of them by a margin of at least two goals. Squad depth has become a decisive weapon, clearly visible in the recent derby against Espanyol, where players such as Fermín López, Dani Olmo, Pedri and Robert Lewandowski came off the bench and made the difference. This depth allows Barcelona to maintain a high level regardless of rotation.
Defensive Security and Goalkeeping Edge
When Barcelona do face pressure, they now also have a decisive last line of defense. Goalkeeper, a former Athletic player, produced one of the performances of the season against Espanyol with six crucial saves. That reliability further strengthens Barcelona’s chances of keeping a clean sheet against an opponent currently struggling to create chances consistently.
