On 18 October 2025, Atlético Madrid return to the Civitas Metropolitano to face Osasuna in La Liga. Diego Simeone’s men remain formidable at home, where they’ve built a four-match winning streak across all competitions and scored ten goals in their last two home games. A 1–1 draw away to Celta before the break slowed their momentum slightly, but Atlético remain one of the league’s most reliable home performers.
Prediction Overview: Asian Handicap – Atlético Madrid −1
The advised pick is Atlético Madrid −1 Asian Handicap. Simeone’s side are in excellent home form, regularly winning by two or more goals. Osasuna’s dismal away record - four straight losses and only one goal scored on the road this season - reinforces the likelihood of a comfortable home victory. The handicap line offers value by capturing Atlético’s dominance without overextending risk.
Match Analysis
Atlético have rediscovered their attacking rhythm, putting five goals past both Eintracht Frankfurt and Real Madrid in consecutive home matches. Antoine Griezmann and Álvaro Morata are in strong form, while midfield creativity has improved with Rodrigo De Paul’s return. The team’s pressing and intensity at home often suffocate visiting sides early. Osasuna, conversely, remain the weakest travelers in La Liga. All their points so far have come at El Sadar, and their inability to score or maintain shape away from home has been costly. Their defense tends to drop too deep under pressure, inviting sustained waves of attacks.
Verdict
With Atlético dominant at home and Osasuna struggling badly on their travels, another solid home win seems inevitable. The −1 handicap looks well-placed, offering the best balance between confidence and value.
