At the Emirates Stadium on 23 November 2025, the North London Derby arrives with both teams carrying strong league form, yet with Arsenal entering as the clearer favourite. The leaders sit four points clear at the top, while Tottenham remain competitive in the top-five chase. Despite Arsenal’s defensive dominance at home, this derby often breaks patterns - and current trends on both sides point toward opportunities for each attack.
Arsenal Dominant at Home and Defensively Exceptional
Arsenal have been one of the most stable teams in Europe this season, especially at the Emirates. They have conceded only one goal in seven home league games, a remarkable defensive record that highlights their organisation, pressing structure, and ability to control matches. The recent 2–2 draw at Sunderland was disappointing, but at home the Gunners have been almost immovable. The long-term trend in this derby also leans their way: Tottenham have not won at the Emirates in the Premier League since 2010.
Tottenham Efficient Away and Improving Offensively
Spurs arrive after a 2–2 draw with Manchester United, a match in which their attack looked more fluid than in previous weeks. Before that fixture, they had gone through five consecutive games in all competitions without both teams scoring - but the United match showed a return of attacking sharpness. Their away record this season has also been strong: unbeaten in all Premier League away matches, with three clean sheets in five trips. The recent 0–2 defeat at Newcastle came in the League Cup, but their away league form remains solid and competitive.
Prediction: BTTS – Yes
Even with Arsenal’s incredible defensive home record, derbies often tilt toward high intensity, quicker transitions, and moments of individual brilliance. Tottenham have shown enough offensive quality to trouble the best defences, and Arsenal at home almost always generate chances of their own.
The selection is Both Teams to Score – Yes.
