At Mendizorroza on 23 February 2026, Alaves host Girona in a La Liga clash between two of the division’s most unpredictable sides. With Alaves sitting just two points above the relegation zone and Girona only slightly more comfortable, this fixture carries clear importance in the battle for stability.
Alaves’ form has been uneven. Their recent 2-0 home defeat to Getafe marked their first home loss of 2026, halting a run that had provided some breathing space. They followed that with a 1-1 draw away at Sevilla, underlining their resilience but also their difficulty in converting performances into victories. Only two wins from the last nine rounds reflect the inconsistency that has defined their campaign. However, their home record remains a key pillar, with 18 of their 26 points collected at Mendizorroza. Matches here are often tight, driven by defensive discipline and a pragmatic approach.
Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals
Given the stakes and both teams’ tendency toward controlled, low-margin encounters, Under 2.5 Goals appears the most logical angle. Neither side consistently produces high-scoring affairs, particularly in matches where caution outweighs ambition.
This contest is likely to be dictated by midfield battles and disciplined defensive lines. Alaves, aware of their precarious position, are unlikely to open up unnecessarily. Girona, despite recent confidence, will also recognise the value of avoiding defeat away from home.
Clear-cut chances could be limited, especially if both teams prioritise compactness and transitional caution. With neither side consistently clinical and both accustomed to low-scoring patterns in similar contexts, a tight affair appears the most probable outcome.
