At the CĂvitas Metropolitano on 18 January 2026, AtlĂ©tico Madrid host AlavĂ©s in a La Liga fixture that once again underlines the contrast between home strength and away fragility. AtlĂ©tico may sit eleven points off the top, but their authority in Madrid remains unquestionable, while AlavĂ©s arrive as one of the division’s weakest travelling sides, burdened by a severe lack of attacking efficiency.
Prediction: Atlético Madrid to Win
A home victory for Atlético Madrid stands out as the most logical outcome. Even with midfield uncertainties, the hosts’ organisation, intensity, and defensive discipline should be more than enough against an Alavés side that struggles badly away from home. Atlético rarely slip in this setting, particularly against teams lacking attacking punch.
Atlético Strong as a Collective Unit
Simeone faces a potential midfield puzzle, with the sale of Gallagher and Koke’s injury casting doubt over the central balance. Finding the right pairing to control the middle will be key, and the inclusion of Pablo Barrios could prove decisive in restoring fluidity and aggression between the lines. On the flanks, Giuliano and Baena provide width and energy, ensuring Atlético can stretch play even if central control requires adjustment. Regardless of personnel, the team’s defensive structure and pressing discipline remain firmly ingrained.
Alavés Toothless Away from Home
Alavés’ problems are most evident on their travels. With just four goals scored in nine away league matches, they sit among the least efficient attacking sides in La Liga. Their struggles are compounded by an inability to convert chances, often requiring an unusually high number of shots to find the net. Against a side as compact and well-drilled as Atlético, opportunities are likely to be scarce, and sustained pressure difficult to generate.
