On 19 October 2025, AC Milan host Fiorentina at San Siro in a Serie A encounter that appears, on paper, to favor the home side. Milan continue to impress near the top of the table with consistent performances and strong home form, while Fiorentina remain winless this season and are struggling to find attacking rhythm.
Prediction Overview: Asian Handicap – AC Milan −0.5
The advised pick is AC Milan −0.5, effectively backing a home win. Fiorentina’s difficulties in front of goal and their defensive inconsistency make it hard to envision an upset at San Siro. Milan’s structure, energy, and recent form point toward another composed performance in front of their supporters.
Match Analysis
Fiorentina enter the fixture as one of only four teams yet to record a win this Serie A season. Despite flashes of promise from Moise Kean, their attacking production remains poor - just a handful of goals scored and a worrying lack of creativity. The team’s away record offers little optimism, with defensive gaps frequently punished by superior sides. Milan, meanwhile, have looked sharp and organized under their current system. The Rossoneri have been effective both in open play and on set pieces, with players like Rafael Leão and Christian Pulisic capable of breaking open compact defenses. Strahinja Pavlović’s advancing runs and composure at the back have added balance and attacking threat from deeper positions. Even without Estupiñán, the hosts retain enough quality to dominate possession and dictate tempo.
Milan’s confidence and home advantage should prove decisive against a Fiorentina side still searching for direction. Expect a professional performance from the Rossoneri, who are unlikely to let points slip in front of their fans.
