The situation for Bulgaria as a whole is not improving. The team is still without a win in the group, as well as in their last seven matches. They have earned two points so far, which came from the 1-1 draws away against Lithuania and at home against Serbia. The match against Serbia can be considered the best so far for the Bulgarians, who conceded the equalizer in added time.
Lithuania is also not doing well and has only earned two points in the group. They have been without a win for a while and haven't won any of their last 15 matches. The two points they have earned so far came from home draws against Bulgaria and Montenegro. As an away team, they have lost seven of their last eight matches.
Both Bulgaria and Lithuania are performing poorly, but it is Lithuania who has been without a win for a longer period. Moreover, at least as a home team, I believe Bulgaria can win this match, even if it won't be easy.